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["GET"]
["  FILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 v01.sav'."]
["DATASET NAME DataSet1 WINDOW=FRONT."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 '+"]
["    'errors corrected v02.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["GET"]
["  FILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Pop_Pyramid v01.sav'."]
["DATASET NAME DataSet2 WINDOW=FRONT."]
["DATASET ACTIVATE DataSet1."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 '+"]
["    'errors corrected v03.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 '+"]
["    'errors corrected v04.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 '+"]
["    'errors corrected v05.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["CREATE"]
["  /Years__1=RMED(Years_70_79 1)."]
[]
[]
["Create"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:14:45"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 errors corrected v05.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet1"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",10]
[null,"Date","<none>"]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"CREATE\n  /Years__1=RMED(Years_70_79 1).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.000"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.028"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet1] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 errors corrected v05.sav"]
[]
["Created Series"]
[" ","Series Name","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Years__1",1,10,10,"RMED(Years_70_79,1,1)"]
[]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\percent_deaths_70_99 '+"]
["    'errors corrected v06.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["NEW FILE."]
["DATASET NAME DataSet3 WINDOW=FRONT."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age '+"]
["    'Specific Mortality probability v01.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["SORT CASES BY Age_at_Death(A)."]
["CREATE"]
["  /Age_sp_1=DIFF(Age_specific_probability 1)."]
[]
[]
["Create"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:28:18"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
[null,"Date","<none>"]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"CREATE\n  /Age_sp_1=DIFF(Age_specific_probability 1).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.015"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.014"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Created Series"]
[" ","Series Name","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Age_sp_1",2,3,2,"DIFF(Age_specific_probability,1)"]
[]
["RMV /Age_specific_probability_1=SMEAN(Age_specific_probability)."]
[]
[]
["Replace Missing Values"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:28:59"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"RMV /Age_specific_probability_1=SMEAN(Age_specific_probability).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.016"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.016"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Result Variables"]
[" ","Result Variable","N of Replaced Missing Values","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Age_specific_probability_1",99,1,111,111,"SMEAN(Age_specific_probability)"]
[]
["RMV /Age_specific_probability_1=SMEAN(Age_specific_probability)."]
[]
[]
["Replace Missing Values"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:29:58"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"RMV /Age_specific_probability_1=SMEAN(Age_specific_probability).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.016"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.030"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Result Variables"]
[" ","Result Variable","N of Replaced Missing Values","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Age_specific_probability_1",99,1,111,111,"SMEAN(Age_specific_probability)"]
[]
["* Curve Estimation."]
["TSET NEWVAR=NONE."]
["CURVEFIT"]
["  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age_at_Death"]
["  /CONSTANT"]
["  /MODEL=LINEAR"]
["  /PRINT ANOVA"]
["  /PLOT FIT."]
[]
[]
["Curve Fit"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:30:46"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","Cases with a missing value in any variable are not used in the analysis."]
["Syntax",null,"CURVEFIT\n  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age_at_Death\n  /CONSTANT\n  /MODEL=LINEAR\n  /PRINT ANOVA\n  /PLOT FIT.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:01.436"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:01.385"]
["Use","From","First observation"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Predict","From","First Observation following the use period"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Amount of Output","PRINT = DEFAULT "]
[null,"Saving New Variables","NEWVAR = NONE    "]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags in Autocorrelation or Partial Autocorrelation Plots","MXAUTO = 16"]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags Per Cross-Correlation Plots","MXCROSS = 7"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Variables Generated Per Procedure","MXNEWVAR = 60"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Cases Per Procedure","MXPREDICT = 1000"]
[null,"Treatment of User-Missing Values","MISSING = EXCLUDE "]
[null,"Confidence Interval Percentage Value","CIN = 95"]
[null,"Tolerance for Entering Variables in Regression Equations","TOLER = .0001"]
[null,"Maximum Iterative Parameter Change","CNVERGE = .001"]
[null,"Method of Calculating Std. Errors for Autocorrelations","ACFSE = IND     "]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[null,"Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots","Unspecified"]
[null,"Equations Include","CONSTANT"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Model Description"]
["Model Name",null,"MOD_1"]
["Dependent Variable","1","Age_specific_probability"]
["Equation","1","Linear"]
["Independent Variable",null,"Age_at_Death"]
["Constant",null,"Included"]
["Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots",null,"Unspecified"]
[]
["Case Processing Summary"]
[" ","N"]
["Total Cases",111]
["Excluded Casesa",100]
["Forecasted Cases",0]
["Newly Created Cases",0]
["a. Cases with a missing value in any variable are excluded from the analysis.\n"]
[]
["Variable Processing Summary"]
[" ",null,"Variables"]
[null,null,"Dependent","Independent"]
[null,null,"Age_specific_probability","Age_at_Death"]
["Number of Positive Values",null,12,110]
["Number of Zeros",null,0,0]
["Number of Negative Values",null,0,0]
["Number of Missing Values","User-Missing",0,0]
[null,"System-Missing",99,1]
[]
[]
["Age_specific_probability"]
[]
[]
["Linear"]
[]
["Model Summary"]
["R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
[0.5179826617811345,0.26830603790586915,0.18700670878429906,17.818447953813806]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["ANOVA"]
[" ","Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["Regression",1047.8116672005121,1,1047.8116672005121,3.300224501295214,0.10264683395364928]
["Residual",2857.4737873449426,9,317.4970874827714]
["Total",3905.2854545454547,10]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["Coefficients"]
[" ","Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig."]
[null,"B","Std. Error","Beta"]
["Age_at_Death",-0.3663997437540038,0.20168956028851603,-0.5179826617811345,-1.816652003355407,0.10264683395364928]
["(Constant)",26.210755052122764,8.632208222313912,null,3.036390501374725,0.014100045239664509]
[]
[]
["COMPUTE Age2=Age_at_Death*Age_at_Death."]
["EXECUTE."]
["COMPUTE Age3=Age_at_Death*Age_at_Death*Age_at_Death."]
["EXECUTE."]
["* Curve Estimation."]
["TSET NEWVAR=NONE."]
["CURVEFIT"]
["  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age3"]
["  /CONSTANT"]
["  /MODEL=LINEAR"]
["  /PRINT ANOVA"]
["  /PLOT FIT."]
[]
[]
["Curve Fit"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:33:06"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","Cases with a missing value in any variable are not used in the analysis."]
["Syntax",null,"CURVEFIT\n  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age3\n  /CONSTANT\n  /MODEL=LINEAR\n  /PRINT ANOVA\n  /PLOT FIT.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.265"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.202"]
["Use","From","First observation"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Predict","From","First Observation following the use period"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Amount of Output","PRINT = DEFAULT "]
[null,"Saving New Variables","NEWVAR = NONE    "]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags in Autocorrelation or Partial Autocorrelation Plots","MXAUTO = 16"]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags Per Cross-Correlation Plots","MXCROSS = 7"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Variables Generated Per Procedure","MXNEWVAR = 60"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Cases Per Procedure","MXPREDICT = 1000"]
[null,"Treatment of User-Missing Values","MISSING = EXCLUDE "]
[null,"Confidence Interval Percentage Value","CIN = 95"]
[null,"Tolerance for Entering Variables in Regression Equations","TOLER = .0001"]
[null,"Maximum Iterative Parameter Change","CNVERGE = .001"]
[null,"Method of Calculating Std. Errors for Autocorrelations","ACFSE = IND     "]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[null,"Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots","Unspecified"]
[null,"Equations Include","CONSTANT"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Model Description"]
["Model Name",null,"MOD_2"]
["Dependent Variable","1","Age_specific_probability"]
["Equation","1","Linear"]
["Independent Variable",null,"Age3"]
["Constant",null,"Included"]
["Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots",null,"Unspecified"]
[]
["Case Processing Summary"]
[" ","N"]
["Total Cases",111]
["Excluded Casesa",99]
["Forecasted Cases",0]
["Newly Created Cases",0]
["a. Cases with a missing value in any variable are excluded from the analysis.\n"]
[]
["Variable Processing Summary"]
[" ",null,"Variables"]
[null,null,"Dependent","Independent"]
[null,null,"Age_specific_probability","Age3"]
["Number of Positive Values",null,12,111]
["Number of Zeros",null,0,0]
["Number of Negative Values",null,0,0]
["Number of Missing Values","User-Missing",0,0]
[null,"System-Missing",99,0]
[]
[]
["Age_specific_probability"]
[]
[]
["Linear"]
[]
["Model Summary"]
["R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
[0.3066607744473274,0.09404083058463464,0.0034449136430980964,21.965489956576736]
["The independent variable is Age3."]
[]
["ANOVA"]
[" ","Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["Regression",500.82917634192984,1,500.82917634192984,1.0380250430637088,0.3322969574072221]
["Residual",4824.827490324735,10,482.48274903247346]
["Total",5325.656666666665,11]
["The independent variable is Age3."]
[]
["Coefficients"]
[" ","Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig."]
[null,"B","Std. Error","Beta"]
["Age3",-4.120290564854795e-05,4.0441190158926726e-05,-0.3066607744473274,-1.0188351402772229,0.3322969574072221]
["(Constant)",21.56663472582118,7.644341503906871,null,2.8212547431062447,0.018121667089539287]
[]
[]
["* Curve Estimation."]
["TSET NEWVAR=NONE."]
["CURVEFIT"]
["  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age_at_Death"]
["  /CONSTANT"]
["  /MODEL=LINEAR EXPONENTIAL"]
["  /PRINT ANOVA"]
["  /PLOT FIT."]
[]
[]
["Curve Fit"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:33:46"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","Cases with a missing value in any variable are not used in the analysis."]
["Syntax",null,"CURVEFIT\n  /VARIABLES=Age_specific_probability WITH Age_at_Death\n  /CONSTANT\n  /MODEL=LINEAR EXPONENTIAL\n  /PRINT ANOVA\n  /PLOT FIT.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.281"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.205"]
["Use","From","First observation"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Predict","From","First Observation following the use period"]
[null,"To","Last observation"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Amount of Output","PRINT = DEFAULT "]
[null,"Saving New Variables","NEWVAR = NONE    "]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags in Autocorrelation or Partial Autocorrelation Plots","MXAUTO = 16"]
[null,"Maximum Number of Lags Per Cross-Correlation Plots","MXCROSS = 7"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Variables Generated Per Procedure","MXNEWVAR = 60"]
[null,"Maximum Number of New Cases Per Procedure","MXPREDICT = 1000"]
[null,"Treatment of User-Missing Values","MISSING = EXCLUDE "]
[null,"Confidence Interval Percentage Value","CIN = 95"]
[null,"Tolerance for Entering Variables in Regression Equations","TOLER = .0001"]
[null,"Maximum Iterative Parameter Change","CNVERGE = .001"]
[null,"Method of Calculating Std. Errors for Autocorrelations","ACFSE = IND     "]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[null,"Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots","Unspecified"]
[null,"Equations Include","CONSTANT"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Model Description"]
["Model Name",null,"MOD_3"]
["Dependent Variable","1","Age_specific_probability"]
["Equation","1","Linear"]
[null,"2","Exponentiala"]
["Independent Variable",null,"Age_at_Death"]
["Constant",null,"Included"]
["Variable Whose Values Label Observations in Plots",null,"Unspecified"]
["a. The model requires all non-missing values to be positive.\n"]
[]
["Case Processing Summary"]
[" ","N"]
["Total Cases",111]
["Excluded Casesa",100]
["Forecasted Cases",0]
["Newly Created Cases",0]
["a. Cases with a missing value in any variable are excluded from the analysis.\n"]
[]
["Variable Processing Summary"]
[" ",null,"Variables"]
[null,null,"Dependent","Independent"]
[null,null,"Age_specific_probability","Age_at_Death"]
["Number of Positive Values",null,12,110]
["Number of Zeros",null,0,0]
["Number of Negative Values",null,0,0]
["Number of Missing Values","User-Missing",0,0]
[null,"System-Missing",99,1]
[]
[]
["Age_specific_probability"]
[]
[]
["Linear"]
[]
["Model Summary"]
["R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
[0.5179826617811345,0.26830603790586915,0.18700670878429906,17.818447953813806]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["ANOVA"]
[" ","Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["Regression",1047.8116672005121,1,1047.8116672005121,3.300224501295214,0.10264683395364928]
["Residual",2857.4737873449426,9,317.4970874827714]
["Total",3905.2854545454547,10]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["Coefficients"]
[" ","Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig."]
[null,"B","Std. Error","Beta"]
["Age_at_Death",-0.3663997437540038,0.20168956028851603,-0.5179826617811345,-1.816652003355407,0.10264683395364928]
["(Constant)",26.210755052122764,8.632208222313912,null,3.036390501374725,0.014100045239664509]
[]
[]
["Exponential"]
[]
["Model Summary"]
["R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
[0.3458010846015344,0.11957839011159754,0.02175376679066393,1.2432332450722952]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["ANOVA"]
[" ","Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["Regression",1.8893383842968556,1,1.8893383842968556,1.2223751653946704,0.2975723303470501]
["Residual",13.910660114876904,9,1.5456289016529894]
["Total",15.79999849917376,10]
["The independent variable is Age_at_Death."]
[]
["Coefficients"]
[" ","Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig."]
[null,"B","Std. Error","Beta"]
["Age_at_Death",-0.015558524935875208,0.01407233487364577,-0.3458010846015344,-1.1056107657736833,0.2975723303470501]
["(Constant)",10.80232963763332,6.506120096093282,null,1.660333574862809,0.13121721644153694]
["The dependent variable is ln(Age_specific_probability)."]
[]
[]
["REGRESSION"]
["  /MISSING LISTWISE"]
["  /STATISTICS COEFF OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA"]
["  /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)"]
["  /NOORIGIN"]
["  /DEPENDENT Age_specific_probability"]
["  /METHOD=ENTER Age_at_Death Age2 Age3"]
["  /RESIDUALS NORMPROB(ZRESID)."]
[]
[]
["Regression"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:35:06"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","Statistics are based on cases with no missing values for any variable used."]
["Syntax",null,"REGRESSION\n  /MISSING LISTWISE\n  /STATISTICS COEFF OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA\n  /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)\n  /NOORIGIN\n  /DEPENDENT Age_specific_probability\n  /METHOD=ENTER Age_at_Death Age2 Age3\n  /RESIDUALS NORMPROB(ZRESID).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.265"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.258"]
[null,"Memory Required","3552 bytes"]
[null,"Additional Memory Required for Residual Plots","264 bytes"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Variables Entered/Removedb"]
["Model","Variables Entered","Variables Removed","Method"]
["1","Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2",".","Enter"]
["a. All requested variables entered.\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Model Summaryb"]
["Model","R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
["1",".918a",0.8423908769292721,0.7748441098989601,9.377089221164667]
["a. Predictors: (Constant), Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["ANOVAb"]
["Model",null,"Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["1","Regression",3289.776838713675,3,1096.592279571225,12.471224219380394,".003a"]
[null,"Residual",615.508615831778,7,87.92980226168257]
[null,"Total",3905.285454545453,10]
["a. Predictors: (Constant), Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Coefficientsa"]
["Model",null,"Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig.","95.0% Confidence Interval for B"]
[null,null,"B","Std. Error","Beta",null,null,"Lower Bound","Upper Bound"]
["1","(Constant)",52.25919008106928,6.993627823722793,null,7.4724007908746675,0.00014053404089479706,35.7218881224803,68.79649203965826]
[null,"Age_at_Death",-4.405477995821686,0.9586202244822406,-6.228064450356207,-4.595644743674299,0.0024970219478522267,-6.67225462669971,-2.1387013649436617]
[null,"Age2",0.10269060622525375,0.029824654012134518,11.415959593621928,3.4431449291405976,0.010791086643482582,0.03216650605279646,0.17321470639771103]
[null,"Age3",-0.0006846066980818326,0.0002479792757637592,-5.826288663495732,-2.7607415820265255,0.028065968947205703,-0.0012709845074452323,-9.822888871843295e-05]
["a. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Residuals Statisticsa"]
[" ","Minimum","Maximum","Mean","Std. Deviation","N"]
["Predicted Value",-5.911390781402588,47.955718994140625,13.936363636363664,18.137741972785726,11]
["Residual",-15.517863273620605,9.446480751037598,-2.5595687185903608e-14,7.845435716591092,11]
["Std. Predicted Value",-1.094279170036316,1.8756113052368164,1.3726393759001935e-15,0.999999999999978,11]
["Std. Residual",-1.6548700332641602,1.0074000358581543,-2.7553716883878883e-15,0.836660026533976,11]
["a. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
[]
["Charts"]
[]
[]
["COMPUTE Age_spec_mort_prob=Age_at_Death*Age_at_Death*Age_at_Death."]
["EXECUTE."]
["REGRESSION"]
["  /MISSING LISTWISE"]
["  /STATISTICS COEFF OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA"]
["  /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)"]
["  /NOORIGIN"]
["  /DEPENDENT Age_specific_probability"]
["  /METHOD=ENTER Age_at_Death Age2 Age3"]
["  /RESIDUALS NORMPROB(ZRESID)"]
["  /SAVE PRED ZPRED ADJPRED."]
[]
[]
["Regression"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 12:41:02"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","Statistics are based on cases with no missing values for any variable used."]
["Syntax",null,"REGRESSION\n  /MISSING LISTWISE\n  /STATISTICS COEFF OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA\n  /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)\n  /NOORIGIN\n  /DEPENDENT Age_specific_probability\n  /METHOD=ENTER Age_at_Death Age2 Age3\n  /RESIDUALS NORMPROB(ZRESID)\n  /SAVE PRED ZPRED ADJPRED.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.188"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.174"]
[null,"Memory Required","3600 bytes"]
[null,"Additional Memory Required for Residual Plots","264 bytes"]
["Variables Created or Modified","PRE_1","Unstandardized Predicted Value"]
[null,"ADJ_1","Adjusted Predicted Value"]
[null,"ZPR_1","Standardized Predicted Value"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability v01.sav"]
[]
["Variables Entered/Removedb"]
["Model","Variables Entered","Variables Removed","Method"]
["1","Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2",".","Enter"]
["a. All requested variables entered.\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Model Summaryb"]
["Model","R","R Square","Adjusted R Square","Std. Error of the Estimate"]
["1",".918a",0.8423908769292721,0.7748441098989601,9.377089221164667]
["a. Predictors: (Constant), Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["ANOVAb"]
["Model",null,"Sum of Squares","df","Mean Square","F","Sig."]
["1","Regression",3289.776838713675,3,1096.592279571225,12.471224219380394,".003a"]
[null,"Residual",615.508615831778,7,87.92980226168257]
[null,"Total",3905.285454545453,10]
["a. Predictors: (Constant), Age3, Age_at_Death, Age2\nb. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Coefficientsa"]
["Model",null,"Unstandardized Coefficients",null,"Standardized Coefficients","t","Sig.","95.0% Confidence Interval for B"]
[null,null,"B","Std. Error","Beta",null,null,"Lower Bound","Upper Bound"]
["1","(Constant)",52.25919008106928,6.993627823722793,null,7.4724007908746675,0.00014053404089479706,35.7218881224803,68.79649203965826]
[null,"Age_at_Death",-4.405477995821686,0.9586202244822406,-6.228064450356207,-4.595644743674299,0.0024970219478522267,-6.67225462669971,-2.1387013649436617]
[null,"Age2",0.10269060622525375,0.029824654012134518,11.415959593621928,3.4431449291405976,0.010791086643482582,0.03216650605279646,0.17321470639771103]
[null,"Age3",-0.0006846066980818326,0.0002479792757637592,-5.826288663495732,-2.7607415820265255,0.028065968947205703,-0.0012709845074452323,-9.822888871843295e-05]
["a. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
["Residuals Statisticsa"]
[" ","Minimum","Maximum","Mean","Std. Deviation","N"]
["Predicted Value",-5.911390781402588,47.955718994140625,13.936363636363664,18.137741972785726,11]
["Std. Predicted Value",-1.094279170036316,1.8756113052368164,1.3726393759001935e-15,0.999999999999978,11]
["Standard Error of Predicted Value",4.2365498542785645,8.686963081359863,5.538916037569998,1.193470127944913,11]
["Adjusted Predicted Value",-17.34882164001465,43.55704116821289,11.372742551368487,19.750789584684643,11]
["Residual",-15.517863273620605,9.446480751037598,-2.5595687185903608e-14,7.845435716591092,11]
["Std. Residual",-1.6548700332641602,1.0074000358581543,-2.7553716883878883e-15,0.836660026533976,11]
["Stud. Residual",-1.8549853563308716,1.2691673040390015,0.07929352695355649,1.034153164796003,11]
["Deleted Residual",-19.497777938842773,28.448822021484375,2.5636210849951486,13.808669261924301,11]
["Stud. Deleted Residual",-2.408520221710205,1.3391579389572144,0.035779368091051,1.1509321299727007,11]
["Mahal. Distance",1.132123351097107,7.6731343269348145,2.7272727272726196,1.7795639186985268,11]
["Cook's Distance",0.0017790409037843347,1.9748420715332031,0.26690207443824626,0.571539094890674,11]
["Centered Leverage Value",0.11321233212947845,0.7673134207725525,0.27272727272726194,0.1779563918698527,11]
["a. Dependent Variable: Age_specific_probability\n"]
[]
[]
["Charts"]
[]
[]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age '+"]
["    'Specific Mortality probability v02.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age '+"]
["    'Specific Mortality probability v03.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age '+"]
["    'Specific Mortality probability trimmed only v03.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["RECODE PRE_1 (Lowest thru 0.2=0.2) INTO Probability_of_death_cubic_regression_est_v01."]
["VARIABLE LABELS  Probability_of_death_cubic_regression_est_v01 'Mortality probability'."]
["EXECUTE."]
["RECODE PRE_1 (Lowest thru 0.2=0.2) (ELSE=Copy) INTO Probability_of_death_cubic_regression_est_v01."]
["VARIABLE LABELS  Probability_of_death_cubic_regression_est_v01 'Mortality probability'."]
["EXECUTE."]
["GRAPH"]
["  /LINE(SIMPLE)=VALUE(Mortality_probability) BY Age_at_Death."]
[]
[]
["Graph"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 13:12:33"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability trimmed only v03.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet3"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Syntax",null,"GRAPH\n  /LINE(SIMPLE)=VALUE(Mortality_probability) BY Age_at_Death.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.187"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.317"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet3] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Age Specific Mortality probability trimmed only v03.sav"]
[]
[]
["NEW FILE."]
["DATASET NAME DataSet4 WINDOW=FRONT."]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Prob of '+"]
["    'death by age v04.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
["COMPUTE Proportion_Mortality_by_Age=Mortality_probability/100."]
["EXECUTE."]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Prob of '+"]
["    'death by age v04.sav'"]
[" /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE TRANSLATE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation '+"]
["    'Data\\Prob of death by age v04.xlsx'"]
["  /TYPE=XLS"]
["  /VERSION=12"]
["  /MAP"]
["  /REPLACE"]
["  /FIELDNAMES"]
["  /CELLS=VALUES."]
[]
["Data written to C:\\Proj\\Maz\\DemographicTransition\\DemographicTransition\\Simulation Data\\Prob of death by age v04.xlsx."]
["3 variables and 111 cases written to range: SPSS."]
["Variable: Age_at_Death_yrs   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Mortality_probability   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Proportion_Mortality_by_Age   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 6"]
[]
[]
["SAVE TRANSLATE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\NSF\\Prob of death by age v04.xlsx'"]
["  /TYPE=XLS"]
["  /VERSION=12"]
["  /MAP"]
["  /REPLACE"]
["  /FIELDNAMES"]
["  /CELLS=VALUES."]
[]
["Data written to C:\\Proj\\Maz\\NSF\\Prob of death by age v04.xlsx."]
["3 variables and 111 cases written to range: SPSS."]
["Variable: Age_at_Death_yrs   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Mortality_probability   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Proportion_Mortality_by_Age   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 6"]
[]
[]
["SAVE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav'"]
["  /COMPRESSED."]
[]
["SAVE TRANSLATE OUTFILE='C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.xls'"]
["  /TYPE=XLS"]
["  /VERSION=8"]
["  /MAP"]
["  /REPLACE"]
["  /FIELDNAMES"]
["  /CELLS=VALUES."]
[]
["Data written to C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.xls."]
["3 variables and 111 cases written to range: SPSS."]
["Variable: Age_at_Death_yrs   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Mortality_probability   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 2"]
["Variable: Proportion_Mortality_by_Age   Type: Number   Width:   8   Dec: 6"]
[]
["CREATE"]
["  /Propor_1=MA(Proportion_Mortality_by_Age 1)."]
[]
[]
["Create"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 13:31:29"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet4"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
[null,"Date","<none>"]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"CREATE\n  /Propor_1=MA(Proportion_Mortality_by_Age 1).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.000"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.006"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet4] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]
[]
["Created Series"]
[" ","Series Name","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Propor_1",1,95,95,"MA(Proportion_Mortality_by_Age,1,1)"]
[]
["CREATE"]
["  /Propor_1=MA(Propor_1 3)."]
[]
[]
["Create"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 13:32:58"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet4"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
[null,"Date","<none>"]
["Missing Value Handling","Definition of Missing","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Cases Used","All non-missing data are used."]
["Syntax",null,"CREATE\n  /Propor_1=MA(Propor_1 3).\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.000"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.007"]
["Time Series Settings (TSET)","Treatment of User-Missing Values","User-defined missing values are treated as missing."]
[null,"Length of Seasonal Period","Unspecified"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet4] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]
[]
["Created Series"]
[" ","Series Name","Case Number of Non-Missing Values",null,"N of Valid Cases","Creating Function"]
[null,null,"First","Last"]
["1","Propor_1",2,94,93,"MA(Propor_1,3,3)"]
[]
["GRAPH"]
["  /LINE(SIMPLE)=VALUE(Propor_1) BY Age_at_Death_yrs."]
[]
[]
["Graph"]
[]
["Notes"]
["Output Created",null,"31-Aug-2012 13:34:20"]
["Comments",null," "]
["Input","Data","C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]
[null,"Active Dataset","DataSet4"]
[null,"Filter","<none>"]
[null,"Weight","<none>"]
[null,"Split File","<none>"]
[null,"N of Rows in Working Data File",111]
["Syntax",null,"GRAPH\n  /LINE(SIMPLE)=VALUE(Propor_1) BY Age_at_Death_yrs.\n"]
["Resources","Processor Time","00 00:00:00.187"]
[null,"Elapsed Time","00 00:00:00.191"]
[]
[]
["[DataSet4] C:\\Proj\\Maz\\Simulation\\Prob of death by age v04.sav"]